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DUBBO

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:25 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:20 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:10 PM R9 4:50 PM

Race 8

4:10 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st CIAO BELLA MIA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SUNDAY
3rd CHEAP SHOT 💡 Saver
4th STRASSMAN
✅ Best Bet won — CIAO BELLA MIA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CHEAP SHOT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
CIAO BELLA MIA W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
CHEAP SHOT P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. CIAO BELLA MIA FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.08 $2.89
5. CHEAP SHOT 16 $3.80 $1.32 $5.88
14. RUBY HARMONY 4 $13.00 $2.90 $12.87
3. STRASSMAN 3 $15.00 $3.25 $12.92
11. DEODEE 17 $15.00 $3.30 $14.01
4. INVINCIBLE SALEX 1 $16.00 $3.40 $14.86
12. STOLEN SHOW 8 $26.00 $4.50 $17.24
9. SUNDAY 12 $19.00 $3.80 $17.97
15. DUSTY VERMEER 13 $41.00 $5.75 $25.81
13. GO BABY 5 $91.00 $8.50 $48.37
17. PYROMANIA 9 $126.00 $11.00 $59.66
Favourite record at DUBBO ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 63% 32*
3.50–4.99 35% 60% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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