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BALLARAT

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Race 5

3:00 PM
1500m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st SURREAL I AM 📍 Place Pick
2nd BRAVE MISSION (GB)
3rd TOLPUDDLE
4th DRAMATICUS
✅ Place bet — won outright — SURREAL I AM finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
SURREAL I AM W $2.40·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
LIFE SENTENCE W $10.00
Form view · saver 14.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 60% (5 starts) · Recent form: 3612
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. SURREAL I AM FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.40 $1.16 $3.56
1. DRAMATICUS 8 $2.90 $1.22 $4.12
4. BRAVE MISSION (GB) 7 $6.00 $1.65 $7.86
5. LIFE SENTENCE 5 $10.00 $2.35 $8.47
6. SAVAMOON (NZ) 2 $11.00 $2.45 $10.17
9. SWYCHO (NZ) 10 $34.00 $4.80 $22.37
7. TOLPUDDLE 9 $34.00 $4.80 $30.69
11. KING ALLA 3 $71.00 $7.25 $33.39
10. HIDE YOUR ASSETS 11 $91.00 $8.00 $38.90
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 50% 73% 22*
2.50–3.49 35% 65% 60
3.50–4.99 28% 69% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.