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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:35 PM

Race 3

1:35 PM

1400m · 6 runners

🏁 Result

1st MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) 💡 Saver

2nd ARTGIRL ⭐ Best Bet

3rd GONDORFF (NZ)

4th ALL TOO CLEVER

〰️ Best Bet placed — ARTGIRL ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ARTGIRL W $1.60

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) P $1.24

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
7. ARTGIRL FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.60	$1.05	$2.37
8. MOVIE NIGHT (NZ)	6	$3.00	$1.24	$3.40
3. GONDORFF (NZ)	1	$10.00	$3.00	$8.75
10. DA VINCI ROSE	8	$17.00	$4.25	$10.22
6. ALL TOO CLEVER	4	$31.00	$5.75	$21.96
1. BLANKS	11	$81.00	$10.00	$39.26

Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	57%	86%	28*
2.00–2.49	38%	85%	39*
2.50–3.49	40%	67%	48*
3.50–4.99	29%	53%	34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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