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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:35 PM

Race 6

3:20 PM
2200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st ELLE HUDSON (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd ALNAIR
3rd SEBILLA
4th JASPER'S WAY
✅ Place bet — won outright — ELLE HUDSON (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
ELLE HUDSON (NZ) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
SABLONNEUSE W $13.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ELLE HUDSON (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.80 $1.26 $4.69
2. BELLINI SPRITZ 3 $3.60 $1.34 $5.01
5. JASPER'S WAY 14 $5.00 $1.65 $6.36
8. SABLONNEUSE 5 $13.00 $3.20 $10.96
12. MY GREEK GOD 4 $12.00 $2.90 $11.92
9. ALNAIR 2 $19.00 $4.00 $14.32
10. CALIFORNIA GRASS 9 $16.00 $3.70 $14.65
11. SEBILLA 6 $34.00 $5.50 $21.44
6. SPACETIME LEGEND 7 $41.00 $6.00 $24.55
7. FLYING GREY 8 $61.00 $7.25 $33.87
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 86% 28*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 41% 67% 49*
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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