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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:52 PM R3 1:27 PM R4 2:02 PM R5 2:37 PM R6 3:17 PM R7 3:57 PM R8 4:32 PM R9 5:07 PM

Race 5

2:37 PM
1250m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st THE STALKER
2nd METRICAL (NZ)
3rd TOSEN WATER
4th SIR LEAPALOT
❌ Unplaced — WOLFY (NZ) didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
WOLFY (NZ) P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
CIELAO W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. WOLFY (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.60 $1.45 $3.84
11. CIELAO 2 $5.00 $2.30 $5.25
2. THE STALKER 1 $5.50 $2.50 $6.76
6. METRICAL (NZ) 6 $8.00 $3.30 $8.17
3. SIR LEAPALOT 7 $8.50 $3.50 $8.21
10. TOSEN WATER 8 $9.00 $3.70 $9.90
1. KARACASU 4 $18.00 $6.25 $17.86
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 50% 79% 34*
2.50–3.49 this race 20% 54% 74
3.50–4.99 20% 39% 66

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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