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DARWIN

R1 1:03 PM R2 1:38 PM R3 2:13 PM R4 2:48 PM R5 3:29 PM R6 4:07 PM R7 4:42 PM R8 5:17 PM R9 5:53 PM

Race 5

3:29 PM
1200m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BALASTIER ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd CINQUE TORRI
3rd BOLDINHO
4th GREAT BUY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” BALASTIER finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
BALASTIER W $2.45ยทP $1.24
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BALASTIER FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.45 $1.24 $3.68
2. BOLDINHO 6 $3.20 $1.32 $4.74
3. CINQUE TORRI 1 $5.50 $1.75 $7.60
11. WALLENDA 2 $7.50 $2.25 $8.68
6. EARLY CROW 9 $20.00 $4.20 $17.51
10. REWARDS AND MORE 4 $26.00 $4.75 $19.84
7. GENETIC FREAK 7 $34.00 $5.50 $23.96
5. COTEHELE (NZ) 8 $26.00 $4.60 $24.18
4. CONVINCEBILITY 5 $51.00 $6.75 $30.14
8. GREAT BUY 11 $71.00 $8.00 $41.58
9. HAMLET VON SNITZEL 10 $91.00 $9.50 $44.20
Favourite record at DARWIN โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 67% 90% 21*
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 42% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 41% 74% 39*
3.50โ€“4.99 33% 58% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.