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CARNARVON

R1 3:55 PM R2 4:35 PM R3 5:10 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 7:05 PM R6 7:32 PM

Race 6

7:32 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st WESTERN IMPACT 📍 Place Pick
2nd BLOWIN' SMOKE 💡 Saver
3rd IRONCLAD BOY
4th SHABALALA
✅ Place bet — won outright — WESTERN IMPACT finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BLOWIN' SMOKE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
10
WESTERN IMPACT P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
BLOWIN' SMOKE W $9.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. WESTERN IMPACT FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.22 $3.57
2. LIMAHULI 9 $3.10 $1.24 $4.90
6. IRONCLAD BOY 3 $4.80 $1.40 $5.85
7. BLOWIN' SMOKE 5 $9.00 $2.25 $8.62
8. SOARING SOLO 11 $8.00 $2.05 $8.66
11. LORDGIVEMESTRENGTH 10 $23.00 $4.00 $16.76
4. SHABALALA 12 $61.00 $6.50 $33.37
12. PASSION PRINCE (NZ) 1 $101.00 $8.00 $42.69
Favourite record at CARNARVON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 48% 65% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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