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GRAFTON

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM
1700m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st TAGA SMILE 📍 Place Pick
2nd TURPIN'S TORMENT
3rd HABIB ALBI
4th PLAY IT COOL
✅ Place bet — won outright — TAGA SMILE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
TAGA SMILE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
COOK MY GOOSE W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. TAGA SMILE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.50 $1.26 $4.21
5. DURNESS (NZ) 8 $5.00 $1.75 $6.49
2. COOK MY GOOSE 5 $6.50 $2.10 $7.50
12. TURPIN'S TORMENT 7 $6.50 $2.10 $8.62
1. HABIB ALBI 10 $8.50 $2.45 $9.88
8. HAPPY COFFEE 3 $18.00 $4.20 $15.52
11. SAJJETTI 6 $23.00 $4.60 $18.42
7. FINDING ELLE 9 $31.00 $5.50 $22.63
10. PLAY IT COOL 12 $31.00 $5.50 $26.10
4. AT CHURCH 2 $41.00 $6.50 $26.22
9. LAGAVULIN 4 $81.00 $9.00 $53.36
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 33% 81% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 72% 32*
3.50–4.99 19% 33% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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