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Race 4

2:30 PM
1628m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st NGONGOTAHA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STEAL AWAY
3rd THE DECEMBRIST 💡 Saver
4th WINGS OF LOVE
✅ Best Bet won — NGONGOTAHA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — THE DECEMBRIST ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
NGONGOTAHA W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
THE DECEMBRIST P $1.22
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. NGONGOTAHA FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.55 $1.02 $2.39
8. THE DECEMBRIST 1 $3.70 $1.22 $4.68
12. WINGS OF LOVE 7 $6.50 $1.40 $6.13
4. DELTAKAI (NZ) 4 $23.00 $3.30 $16.42
11. STEAL AWAY 8 $31.00 $4.00 $20.41
3. BUILTTHISCITY 12 $31.00 $3.90 $26.19
2. ASK THE CAPTAIN 13 $41.00 $4.50 $30.84
13. WYNDSTAR (NZ) 3 $151.00 $8.50 $76.67
5. KNIGHT WINK 10 $126.00 $7.25 $91.47
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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