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TAREE

R1 12:55 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 1

12:55 PM

2018m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st SMOKEY SAINT 💡 Saver

2nd AUTAFINNA (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

3rd SEND A TELEGRAM

4th LONE STAR DREAM

〰️ Best Bet placed — AUTAFINNA (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — SMOKEY SAINT finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

AUTAFINNA (NZ) W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

SMOKEY SAINT P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
6. AUTAFINNA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.95	$1.06	$2.84
5. SMOKEY SAINT	9	$3.90	$1.28	$4.90
8. ELITE DELIGHT	2	$4.60	$1.34	$5.46
2. LONE STAR DREAM	6	$8.50	$1.95	$9.38
4. SEND A TELEGRAM	4	$13.00	$2.60	$11.18
3. REBEL ONE	5	$81.00	$6.75	$45.20
9. ZAVINO	8	$91.00	$7.25	$46.20
1. HARDASH	7	$81.00	$6.75	$48.95

Favourite record at TAREE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	70%	95%	20*
2.00–2.49	30%	75%	20*
2.50–3.49	22%	64%	36*
3.50–4.99	14%	41%	22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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