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CANTERBURY

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 4

2:35 PM
1900m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st VELARIS (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd COVERT THINKING
3rd I PARK (NZ)
4th ALLEGRO MISS 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — VELARIS (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
VELARIS (NZ) P $1.36
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
ALLEGRO MISS W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. VELARIS (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.50 $1.36 $3.74
2. ALLEGRO MISS 6 $5.00 $2.25 $5.49
5. COVERT THINKING 3 $5.00 $2.30 $5.98
1. KAPAKIRI 1 $6.50 $2.70 $7.83
4. FAY'S ANGELS 5 $8.00 $3.30 $8.33
3. I PARK (NZ) 2 $10.00 $3.90 $9.57
8. FARRAIGE (NZ) 4 $91.00 $16.00 $32.00
Favourite record at CANTERBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 35% 74% 23*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 61% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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