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GRAFTON

R1 11:34 AM R2 12:04 PM R3 12:39 PM R4 1:14 PM R5 1:49 PM R6 2:24 PM R7 2:59 PM R8 3:34 PM R9 4:14 PM

Race 4

1:14 PM
1200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st TOO DARN FINESSE
2nd SPIRITS BURN DEEP 📍 Place Pick
3rd CREDIT CONTROLLER
4th MEADOWBROOK (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — SPIRITS BURN DEEP ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
SPIRITS BURN DEEP P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
MISS ZERMATT W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SPIRITS BURN DEEP FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.65 $1.22 $4.09
7. TOO DARN FINESSE 10 $3.30 $1.28 $4.49
2. MEADOWBROOK (NZ) 5 $4.60 $1.40 $6.12
4. MISS ZERMATT 15 $8.00 $2.10 $7.75
6. GOT THE SMARTS 1 $8.00 $2.10 $8.27
1. CREDIT CONTROLLER 14 $21.00 $3.90 $15.78
10. COWGIRL LILLY 3 $41.00 $5.50 $24.53
11. STAR SEEKER 11 $126.00 $10.00 $67.51
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 64% 86% 22*
2.00–2.49 32% 82% 28*
2.50–3.49 this race 26% 69% 35*
3.50–4.99 18% 36% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.