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DARWIN

R1 1:52 PM R2 2:27 PM R3 3:07 PM R4 3:47 PM R5 4:23 PM R6 5:01 PM R7 5:37 PM

Race 3

3:07 PM
1100m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st PAFITIS ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd FLASH KERMY
3rd NATALIE JOY
4th MACAVERTY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” PAFITIS finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
PAFITIS W $2.20ยทP $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. PAFITIS FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.20 $1.22 $3.92
10. FLASH KERMY 2 $8.00 $2.45 $8.98
1. MACAVERTY 3 $7.00 $2.30 $9.44
8. ONE LAST PROMISE 1 $12.00 $3.25 $12.19
4. OPULENT OSCAR 12 $11.00 $3.10 $12.33
11. MILK FOAM 8 $12.00 $3.30 $12.62
12. VATICAN ROSE 11 $14.00 $3.70 $13.02
6. D'AMBIDEX 10 $16.00 $3.90 $15.70
2. MAPLETON HILL 7 $19.00 $4.20 $18.55
7. NATALIE JOY 9 $21.00 $4.40 $19.58
13. BRAVE HERITAGE 4 $71.00 $8.50 $42.06
9. DESI'S SPIRIT 5 $101.00 $10.00 $62.76
Favourite record at DARWIN โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 68% 91% 22*
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 40% 83% 42*
2.50โ€“3.49 40% 75% 40*
3.50โ€“4.99 32% 60% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.