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DARWIN

R1 2:04 PM R2 2:39 PM R3 3:14 PM R4 3:49 PM R5 4:24 PM R6 5:03 PM R7 5:37 PM

Race 5

4:24 PM
1100m ยท 5 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st LITTLEBOURKESTREET โญ Best Bet
2nd DOWN THE WICKET ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd REAL VALENTIA
4th JUICE BOX
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” LITTLEBOURKESTREET finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” DOWN THE WICKET ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
LITTLEBOURKESTREET W $1.90
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
DOWN THE WICKET P $1.30
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. LITTLEBOURKESTREET FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.14 $2.67
2. DOWN THE WICKET 3 $3.00 $1.30 $3.73
3. JUICE BOX 5 $7.50 $2.60 $7.23
4. MIAMI VICE 6 $9.50 $3.20 $8.42
1. REAL VALENTIA 4 $12.00 $3.70 $9.97
Favourite record at DARWIN โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 70% 91% 23*
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 82% 44*
2.50โ€“3.49 44% 77% 43*
3.50โ€“4.99 31% 58% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.