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DARWIN

R1 1:27 PM R2 2:02 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 3:12 PM R5 3:52 PM R6 4:27 PM R7 5:03 PM

Race 1

1:27 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st VIERI
2nd HENNESSY LAD (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd MAGARTEN
4th CAPITOL HILL
❌ Unplaced — FIELDS OF COURAGE (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — HENNESSY LAD (NZ) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
FIELDS OF COURAGE (NZ) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
HENNESSY LAD (NZ) W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FIELDS OF COURAGE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.26 $4.05
7. VIERI 1 $3.30 $1.32 $4.97
2. CAPITOL HILL 8 $4.60 $1.55 $6.10
3. HENNESSY LAD (NZ) 6 $8.00 $2.30 $8.78
5. GRINZINGER BISHOP (NZ) 4 $8.50 $2.40 $9.49
4. MAGARTEN 5 $26.00 $4.60 $19.86
12. MUMMSIE 12 $26.00 $4.60 $20.05
10. GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS 11 $31.00 $5.25 $21.11
11. MACHINE MAN 9 $71.00 $7.50 $48.13
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 88% 24*
2.00–2.49 41% 80% 46*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 72% 47*
3.50–4.99 31% 58% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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