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DARWIN

R1 1:27 PM R2 2:02 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 3:12 PM R5 3:52 PM R6 4:27 PM R7 5:03 PM

Race 5

3:52 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st VERBOSITY
2nd DANIHER
3rd STARZAM
4th MR MARRAKECH (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — LUCKY FORTUNA didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
LUCKY FORTUNA W $2.05·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. LUCKY FORTUNA FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.05 $1.30 $3.26
1. DANIHER 2 $3.20 $1.55 $4.26
4. MR MARRAKECH (NZ) 6 $6.50 $2.75 $6.90
2. REAL VALENTIA 3 $11.00 $4.00 $10.83
3. STARZAM 5 $13.00 $4.50 $12.73
6. THROW AT DA STUMPS 8 $19.00 $5.75 $13.30
5. VERBOSITY 7 $18.00 $5.50 $14.82
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 88% 24*
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 80% 46*
2.50–3.49 40% 72% 47*
3.50–4.99 31% 58% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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