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DARWIN

R1 1:27 PM R2 2:02 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 3:12 PM R5 3:52 PM R6 4:27 PM R7 5:03 PM

Race 7

5:03 PM
1200m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BOLDINHO
2nd EARLY CROW
3rd WILD BEAU
4th BALASTIER โญ Best Bet
โŒ Unplaced โ€” BALASTIER didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
BALASTIER W $1.80
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
12
RUNAWAY TYCOON P $1.75
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BALASTIER FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.80 $1.09 $3.00
12. RUNAWAY TYCOON 6 $5.50 $1.75 $6.97
2. BOLDINHO 1 $7.00 $2.05 $8.75
7. EARLY CROW 2 $11.00 $2.70 $12.76
1. DAKOTA LEE 5 $16.00 $3.50 $14.02
10. WILD BEAU 13 $21.00 $4.20 $17.51
6. FLYING YISHU 3 $21.00 $4.00 $18.03
8. BON'S PRIDE 11 $26.00 $4.50 $21.50
9. ARIZONA ACTIVIST 9 $34.00 $5.50 $23.59
5. FIELD OF FLUTES 4 $41.00 $5.75 $26.79
11. DEVILS DELIGHT 7 $101.00 $9.50 $49.57
Favourite record at DARWIN โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 67% 88% 24*
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 80% 46*
2.50โ€“3.49 40% 72% 47*
3.50โ€“4.99 31% 58% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.