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FLEMINGTON

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:25 PM R9 4:55 PM

Race 1

12:15 PM
2520m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Country Racing Victoria ›
🏁 Result
1st NEARCO FROD (FR) 📍 Place Pick
2nd URBAN OUTLOOK (GB)
3rd OUR CHIEF
4th SAMUEL LANGHORNE (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — NEARCO FROD (FR) finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
NEARCO FROD (FR) W $2.40·P $1.36
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. NEARCO FROD (FR) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.40 $1.36 $3.47
6. OUR CHIEF 2 $2.65 $1.40 $3.69
9. BLUESTONE (NZ) 1 $8.50 $3.40 $7.69
2. BLACK RUN (FR) 3 $9.50 $3.80 $9.01
1. TEMPESTI (ITY) 7 $14.00 $5.00 $13.05
7. SAMUEL LANGHORNE (NZ) 8 $23.00 $7.50 $16.07
10. URBAN OUTLOOK (GB) 6 $23.00 $7.50 $16.25
Favourite record at FLEMINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 72% 32*
2.50–3.49 18% 51% 49*
3.50–4.99 23% 50% 44*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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