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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:54 PM R3 1:29 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:39 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:54 PM R8 4:29 PM

Race 3

1:29 PM
1200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LADY OF THE CASTLE
2nd SPARKLING FIRE
3rd LOVE GODDESS
4th REBEL BLAZE
❌ Unplaced — REVAMPED didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
REVAMPED W $2.45·P $1.07
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. REVAMPED FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.45 $1.07 $3.49
2. SPARKLING FIRE 1 $2.75 $1.10 $3.71
4. LADY OF THE CASTLE 4 $3.40 $1.20 $4.15
7. LUNA CRUISER 7 $26.00 $3.70 $17.58
3. DELTA JEWEL 2 $34.00 $4.25 $21.88
8. REBEL BLAZE 3 $26.00 $3.80 $22.43
6. LOVE GODDESS 8 $41.00 $4.75 $32.72
5. AELFWYNN 6 $81.00 $6.50 $39.49
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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