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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:54 PM R3 1:29 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:39 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:54 PM R8 4:29 PM

Race 4

2:04 PM
900m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st GREY EFFECTS
2nd CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT
3rd MISTY VEIL 📍 Place Pick
4th CAPSITY
✅ Place bet landed — MISTY VEIL ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
MISTY VEIL P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
WHO GOES THERE W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MISTY VEIL FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.50 $1.24 $4.21
2. CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT 2 $4.40 $1.50 $5.96
10. THIRD BASE 9 $5.50 $1.70 $6.47
1. WHO GOES THERE 10 $12.00 $2.90 $11.42
8. THE WAY AHEAD 8 $13.00 $3.25 $11.59
7. SUPER SIOUX 13 $14.00 $3.30 $12.05
9. LAIZABOUT 15 $14.00 $3.30 $12.54
6. GREY EFFECTS 12 $41.00 $6.25 $26.89
5. CAPSITY 4 $51.00 $6.75 $34.52
15. CUPID'S KISS 3 $71.00 $8.00 $35.71
14. DODI 7 $201.00 $15.00 $106.64
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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