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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:54 PM R3 1:29 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:39 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:54 PM R8 4:29 PM

Race 6

3:15 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st HEROIC DEED ⭐ Best Bet
2nd AUSBRED HED'N'TAIL 💡 Saver
3rd TRUCE
4th DAMASCUS CALLING
✅ Best Bet won — HEROIC DEED finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — AUSBRED HED'N'TAIL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
HEROIC DEED W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
AUSBRED HED'N'TAIL P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. HEROIC DEED FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.55 $1.02 $2.34
2. AUSBRED HED'N'TAIL 10 $4.60 $1.32 $6.04
4. FIREWORK 8 $6.50 $1.50 $7.61
8. FRANKELY SUBLIME 11 $23.00 $3.75 $17.39
10. DAMASCUS CALLING 4 $26.00 $4.00 $19.07
11. TRUCE 2 $34.00 $4.50 $22.53
13. ALL TOO SNEAKY 7 $51.00 $5.75 $26.32
6. FRIDA KAY 6 $61.00 $6.25 $35.72
14. ON HER WORD 1 $71.00 $6.75 $36.41
15. MARAMOTI (NZ) 3 $151.00 $9.50 $65.43
16. POSH ANNIE 14 $201.00 $13.00 $80.22
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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