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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:54 PM R3 1:29 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:39 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:54 PM R8 4:29 PM

Race 7

3:54 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st RED RAGS TO BULLS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd GHOST WALKER
4th PREFER DIAMONDS (NZ)
✅ Best Bet won — RED RAGS TO BULLS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
11
RED RAGS TO BULLS W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. RED RAGS TO BULLS FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.65 $1.04 $2.52
2. SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) 2 $6.00 $1.45 $6.60
10. PREFER DIAMONDS (NZ) 1 $9.00 $2.05 $9.09
12. ROYAL CHIC 4 $12.00 $2.45 $10.45
6. ALABAMA BLITZ 8 $12.00 $2.45 $11.95
4. GHOST WALKER 10 $20.00 $3.40 $16.22
3. DR EVIL 9 $23.00 $3.75 $19.76
13. DANCE DANCE DANCE 7 $51.00 $5.75 $29.66
14. OAKFIELD PEEWEE 14 $126.00 $8.50 $58.91
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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