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SUNSHINE COAST

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:57 PM

Race 1

12:30 PM
1800m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Sunshine Coast Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FIREY TRUTH 📍 Place Pick
2nd FIVE OF US
3rd SHIP HAPPENS 💡 Saver
4th MISTER BLAZE
✅ Place bet — won outright — FIREY TRUTH finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SHIP HAPPENS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
FIREY TRUTH P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
SHIP HAPPENS W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FIREY TRUTH FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.90 $1.45 $3.95
4. SHIP HAPPENS 7 $5.00 $2.35 $5.47
7. FIVE OF US 3 $5.50 $2.45 $5.92
3. MISTER BLAZE 2 $5.50 $2.45 $6.46
2. NARUKAMI 4 $5.50 $2.40 $6.90
6. CONCADOR 5 $31.00 $7.50 $19.13
9. WINNING FLAME 6 $34.00 $8.00 $23.10
Favourite record at SUNSHINE COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 69% 91% 32*
2.00–2.49 40% 67% 45*
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 64% 75
3.50–4.99 28% 65% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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