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CANBERRA

R1 12:56 PM R2 1:31 PM R3 2:06 PM R4 2:41 PM R5 3:16 PM R6 3:53 PM R7 4:33 PM

Race 4

2:41 PM
1080m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MERCHANT REIGN 📍 Place Pick
2nd PROPHET TIME
3rd ON POINT PIXIE
4th BEAU ROCK
✅ Place bet — won outright — MERCHANT REIGN finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
MERCHANT REIGN P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
TOO DARN SASSY W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MERCHANT REIGN FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.70 $1.45 $5.31
1. GEOSTORM 9 $4.40 $1.65 $5.54
2. SIR LUNCHALOTS 10 $4.60 $1.70 $6.79
5. MELODIA PERFECTA 3 $6.00 $2.10 $7.52
9. TOO DARN SASSY 8 $12.00 $3.30 $13.60
8. PROPHET TIME 5 $18.00 $4.20 $16.29
11. BEAU ROCK 11 $20.00 $4.50 $16.54
10. MEDIA COVERAGE 4 $19.00 $4.25 $17.86
6. CASSIMIR 2 $23.00 $4.75 $19.00
4. ON POINT PIXIE 7 $18.00 $4.20 $21.34
Favourite record at CANBERRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.70) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 18% 59% 22*
2.50–3.49 27% 76% 41*
3.50–4.99 this race 20% 65% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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