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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 1

12:30 PM
2100m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ATE IRON
2nd SMART MOVES 💡 Saver
3rd PATRIOT WOLF (NZ)
4th GAELIC KIWI 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — GAELIC KIWI didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SMART MOVES ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
GAELIC KIWI P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
SMART MOVES W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. GAELIC KIWI FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.80 $1.24 $4.00
8. THE DECEMBRIST 6 $3.90 $1.34 $5.24
1. ATE IRON 5 $4.00 $1.34 $5.31
7. SMART MOVES 8 $8.00 $2.15 $9.05
6. PATRIOT WOLF (NZ) 7 $9.00 $2.30 $9.90
11. HANA WOO (NZ) 10 $15.00 $3.30 $10.28
9. THE TORONADO KID 11 $34.00 $5.25 $23.43
5. MORTAL PEAK 4 $101.00 $8.50 $51.52
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 91% 23*
2.00–2.49 56% 74% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 67
3.50–4.99 23% 62% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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