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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 4

2:30 PM
1000m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st LADY IN RED
2nd OTTALAUS (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd POINTS FOR EFFORT
4th IMMORTAL DIVA
✅ Place bet landed — OTTALAUS (NZ) ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
OTTALAUS (NZ) P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
AURORA MINK W $15.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. OTTALAUS (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 8 $3.40 $1.38 $4.44
10. CAPTIVE ROCK 15 $4.00 $1.50 $5.79
7. LADY IN RED 3 $4.60 $1.65 $5.91
5. BOURDETO 5 $5.00 $1.75 $6.92
9. AURORA MINK 1 $15.00 $3.70 $14.75
2. POINTS FOR EFFORT 10 $17.00 $4.00 $15.43
6. CHAMPAGNE LADIES 11 $26.00 $4.80 $18.03
3. SET BOOM 12 $26.00 $4.80 $27.45
13. ROYAL RHINO 7 $91.00 $10.00 $48.32
15. IMMORTAL DIVA 4 $126.00 $15.00 $57.09
11. BIM'S LIZZY 9 $126.00 $14.00 $68.93
14. WESTERN EDGE 2 $201.00 $17.00 $88.30
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 91% 23*
2.00–2.49 56% 74% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 67
3.50–4.99 23% 62% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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