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PAKENHAM

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Race 8

4:00 PM
1600m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st BOGUES
2nd SAXON BLOOD
3rd FEARLESS WRITER
4th LADY ELSA (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — BUTTERSCOTCH didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
BUTTERSCOTCH P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
OSHIMA W $17.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BUTTERSCOTCH FAV TOP RATED 12 $2.65 $1.24 $3.89
2. BOGUES 5 $3.60 $1.32 $4.65
5. FEARLESS WRITER 9 $5.50 $1.70 $6.95
6. LADY ELSA (NZ) 2 $6.50 $2.00 $8.42
1. OSHIMA 7 $17.00 $3.70 $13.45
7. DANE ON TOUR 11 $18.00 $4.00 $16.12
10. BEARBRASSBLACKFISH 6 $17.00 $3.75 $17.31
8. GEN ZED 8 $71.00 $7.50 $49.17
9. REDWOOD SHADOW (NZ) 1 $151.00 $14.00 $54.83
11. SAXON BLOOD 10 $101.00 $9.50 $55.97
12. MARLIN 3 $151.00 $14.00 $70.24
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 63% 81% 52*
2.00–2.49 33% 71% 48*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 75% 103
3.50–4.99 8% 48% 52*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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