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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:33 PM R2 1:08 PM R3 1:43 PM R4 2:18 PM R5 2:53 PM R6 3:28 PM R7 4:03 PM R8 4:38 PM

Race 8

4:38 PM
1000m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st ESHA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PORT ERIN
3rd TIGER TIE 💡 Saver
4th KINGDOM UNDERSIEGE
✅ Best Bet won — ESHA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TIGER TIE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
ESHA W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
TIGER TIE P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ESHA FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.05 $2.82
2. TIGER TIE 6 $5.50 $1.55 $6.52
12. KINGDOM UNDERSIEGE 7 $10.00 $2.35 $9.86
1. MOONHAVEN 2 $9.00 $2.20 $10.62
7. MISS PERSONALITY 12 $17.00 $3.30 $13.46
8. PORT ERIN 4 $16.00 $3.20 $13.96
3. ACRES AWAY 10 $21.00 $3.80 $15.95
10. ARISPHERE 13 $34.00 $4.75 $20.80
11. SURREAL ASCOT 8 $91.00 $7.50 $43.13
4. DARK TSZYU (NZ) 9 $126.00 $9.50 $61.17
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 60% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 41% 76% 59*
2.50–3.49 25% 59% 118
3.50–4.99 16% 49% 73

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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