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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 3

1:50 PM
900m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st THIRD BASE 💡 Saver
2nd COSMIC ORDER
3rd THE WARRIOR
4th AETERNUM 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — AETERNUM didn't feature
✅ Saver won — THIRD BASE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
AETERNUM P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
THIRD BASE W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. AETERNUM FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.65 $1.38 $3.58
4. COSMIC ORDER 1 $3.50 $1.75 $4.85
5. THIRD BASE 4 $5.00 $2.35 $5.92
3. THE WARRIOR 5 $6.50 $2.75 $7.38
1. ARGYROS 3 $7.50 $3.20 $8.05
8. TIME AND RHYTHM 6 $34.00 $8.00 $20.65
7. FALLEN 8 $51.00 $12.00 $26.38
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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