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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 4

2:25 PM
1600m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st GOLD GLOBE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ROBBED BY ROB
3rd HELICONIA 💡 Saver
4th MISS BINMAN
✅ Best Bet won — GOLD GLOBE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HELICONIA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
GOLD GLOBE W $1.36
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
HELICONIA P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. GOLD GLOBE FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.36 $1.02 $2.15
3. HELICONIA 8 $5.50 $1.75 $5.12
6. QUADRIA 1 $7.00 $2.20 $6.57
4. MISS BINMAN 7 $20.00 $4.50 $11.97
7. ROBBED BY ROB 9 $16.00 $3.90 $14.40
9. ZADDICTED 5 $61.00 $8.00 $29.39
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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