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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 5

3:05 PM
1250m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st REVAMPED
2nd PLUME 💡 Saver
3rd ZOUSARI
4th AVON CALLING ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — AVON CALLING didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PLUME ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
AVON CALLING W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
PLUME P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. AVON CALLING FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $1.02 $2.33
8. PLUME 1 $4.80 $1.32 $5.93
7. PHOTOSHOP (NZ) 5 $6.00 $1.40 $6.39
2. REVAMPED 6 $11.00 $2.20 $10.23
6. PERI 2 $31.00 $4.00 $21.17
4. ZOUSARI 7 $23.00 $3.60 $22.47
1. REAL MCCOY 8 $34.00 $4.25 $26.11
9. RATIVA 9 $71.00 $6.50 $56.70
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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