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R1 11:44 AM R2 12:17 PM R3 12:52 PM R4 1:29 PM R5 2:04 PM R6 2:39 PM R7 3:14 PM R8 3:49 PM R9 4:24 PM R10 4:59 PM

Race 3

12:52 PM
1400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st COASTAL STRIKE
2nd KAKIA
3rd GARCON D'ESPOIR ⭐ Best Bet
4th TASSIE POWER
〰️ Best Bet placed — GARCON D'ESPOIR ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
GARCON D'ESPOIR W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
SOUTHERN AURORAS P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. GARCON D'ESPOIR FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.00 $1.22 $3.03
3. SOUTHERN AURORAS 2 $3.40 $1.55 $4.28
2. KAKIA 8 $8.50 $3.30 $8.41
4. TASSIE POWER 7 $8.50 $3.30 $8.87
5. GEEGEE STRAWBERRY 1 $11.00 $3.90 $9.83
6. COASTAL STRIKE 3 $16.00 $4.80 $12.71
8. APRIL'S DANCE 4 $81.00 $14.00 $40.98
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 35% 68% 31*
2.50–3.49 33% 67% 54*
3.50–4.99 3% 47% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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