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Race 6

2:39 PM
2400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MERLIN BEACH (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd NATIVE CLAN 💡 Saver
3rd BULBUK (GB)
4th HAPPY CLAN
✅ Place bet — won outright — MERLIN BEACH (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — NATIVE CLAN ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
MERLIN BEACH (NZ) P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
NATIVE CLAN W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MERLIN BEACH (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.30 $1.30 $4.49
2. HAPPY CLAN 7 $3.30 $1.30 $4.68
4. NATIVE CLAN 1 $5.00 $1.60 $5.86
1. DON'T GIVE UP 8 $7.50 $2.15 $8.39
6. AL MAXIMUS 4 $9.00 $2.40 $9.90
5. ALPINE TROUT 6 $9.50 $2.50 $9.95
8. STEELE MY SUNSHINE 5 $23.00 $4.40 $20.55
7. BULBUK (GB) 3 $61.00 $7.00 $41.84
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 35% 68% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 67% 54*
3.50–4.99 3% 47% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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