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Race 7

3:14 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALPINE THUNDER
2nd GEEGEES MISSILE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd WILD NIGHTS
4th COOL HEART
〰️ Best Bet placed — GEEGEES MISSILE ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
GEEGEES MISSILE W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
SKY LAND P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. GEEGEES MISSILE FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.95 $1.08 $3.16
5. SKY LAND 2 $4.00 $1.32 $5.10
7. COOL HEART 4 $7.00 $1.85 $7.27
3. ALPINE THUNDER 12 $10.00 $2.30 $10.97
9. WILD NIGHTS 1 $17.00 $3.40 $12.87
8. MISS KEEDS 8 $17.00 $3.40 $15.06
10. WITHIN SIGHT 3 $31.00 $4.60 $19.92
11. SKY EAGLE 11 $26.00 $4.20 $21.35
12. RARE ORO 6 $126.00 $9.50 $57.32
Favourite record at HOBART

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 35% 68% 31*
2.50–3.49 33% 67% 54*
3.50–4.99 3% 47% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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