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WARWICK FARM

R1 1:25 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 4:55 PM

Race 7

4:55 PM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st HEROIC DEED 📍 Place Pick
2nd DIDDLE DUMPLING
3rd SILENCIO PORFAVOR
4th THE LITTLE GENERAL 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — HEROIC DEED finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
12
HEROIC DEED P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
THE LITTLE GENERAL W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. HEROIC DEED FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.60 $1.24 $3.69
7. THE LITTLE GENERAL 15 $7.00 $2.10 $8.20
2. DIDDLE DUMPLING 7 $6.50 $2.00 $8.75
1. COUPLES RETREAT (NZ) 1 $8.00 $2.30 $8.97
13. OLIVIA TWIST 4 $10.00 $2.70 $9.54
6. KIRRIBILLI 3 $11.00 $2.75 $10.88
5. SILENCIO PORFAVOR 16 $11.00 $2.75 $11.43
8. ROYAL AIR FORCE 14 $16.00 $3.70 $17.75
11. EQUILIBRIST 5 $51.00 $6.50 $33.90
16. NOT THAT EASY 6 $201.00 $15.00 $90.58
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 45% 95% 20*
2.00–2.49 54% 79% 24*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 68% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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