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WARRNAMBOOL

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Race 4

2:30 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MR SIOUX (IRE) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd JUST MY LOT
3rd LUNE LUMINEUSE 💡 Saver
4th ALL MOONLITE
✅ Best Bet won — MR SIOUX (IRE) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LUNE LUMINEUSE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
MR SIOUX (IRE) W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
LUNE LUMINEUSE P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MR SIOUX (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.45 $1.02 $2.02
9. LUNE LUMINEUSE 3 $6.00 $1.38 $7.05
8. JUST MY LOT 5 $7.00 $1.50 $7.35
7. ALL MOONLITE 10 $19.00 $3.00 $14.80
6. TEMPERED EDGE 11 $18.00 $2.80 $15.97
5. TAMWOOD 2 $31.00 $3.90 $23.15
2. JAX GOLD 9 $81.00 $6.50 $61.28
10. SPOTLIGHT ON CURLY 8 $151.00 $9.00 $64.17
4. MYCHEMICALROMANZE 6 $151.00 $8.50 $78.51
1. A LITTLE REWARD 4 $201.00 $10.00 $100.52
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 27% 77% 22*
3.50–4.99 27% 55% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.