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Race 5

3:00 PM
1100m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st EMPRESS ROSSA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NORTHERN GOLD
3rd LOUELLA FLY 💡 Saver
4th TIKIELA
✅ Best Bet won — EMPRESS ROSSA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LOUELLA FLY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
EMPRESS ROSSA W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
LOUELLA FLY P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. EMPRESS ROSSA FAV TOP RATED 11 $1.80 $1.05 $2.70
9. LOUELLA FLY 2 $4.60 $1.34 $5.69
1. HINEY'S BAR 4 $6.50 $1.60 $7.82
6. PIPOLI DIVA 5 $10.00 $2.30 $9.24
7. TIKIELA 6 $11.00 $2.35 $10.92
2. NORTHERN GOLD 10 $21.00 $3.60 $17.74
4. MAI 8 $31.00 $4.40 $19.04
5. NIMBINA 1 $126.00 $9.00 $58.68
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 27% 77% 22*
3.50–4.99 27% 55% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.