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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 5

3:10 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MOSCOW MAID
2nd RATTLE THE STARS
3rd LAVA FLOW 📍 Place Pick
4th KIOWA
✅ Place bet landed — LAVA FLOW ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
4
LAVA FLOW W $2.30·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. LAVA FLOW FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.30 $1.14 $3.19
3. YENISEI 5 $3.70 $1.30 $5.33
2. RATTLE THE STARS 9 $7.00 $1.80 $7.46
9. MOSCOW MAID 10 $7.00 $1.85 $7.66
10. BASCILICA BABE 8 $11.00 $2.45 $9.54
7. KIOWA 7 $14.00 $2.90 $13.25
8. LIVING ON A PRAYER 4 $51.00 $6.25 $32.51
5. ESPRESSO ROSE 3 $61.00 $6.50 $43.44
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 83% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 18% 64% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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