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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 6

3:50 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st HARRYBEGOOD 📍 Place Pick
2nd DRAGON BLOOD
3rd WRITTEN DOLL
4th TEMPESTUOUS
✅ Place bet — won outright — HARRYBEGOOD finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
HARRYBEGOOD W $2.45·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. HARRYBEGOOD FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.45 $1.18 $3.53
4. WRITTEN DOLL 3 $3.70 $1.32 $4.43
6. DRAGON BLOOD 6 $5.00 $1.45 $5.75
3. TEMPESTUOUS 9 $5.50 $1.55 $7.65
1. PHARLAND 2 $12.00 $2.65 $10.26
5. MOON FLASH 15 $61.00 $6.75 $32.40
10. QUAVER 1 $61.00 $6.75 $32.38
14. VELVET SKY 12 $151.00 $12.00 $63.99
11. RESIDENTIAL 18 $126.00 $9.50 $89.78
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 83% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 18% 64% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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