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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 7

4:25 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st NARBOLD 💡 Saver
2nd PUNCH LANE 📍 Place Pick
3rd JUJA KIBO (IRE)
4th MR MONACO (GB)
✅ Place bet landed — PUNCH LANE ran a place
✅ Saver won — NARBOLD finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
PUNCH LANE P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
12
NARBOLD W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PUNCH LANE FAV TOP RATED 13 $2.80 $1.30 $4.87
12. NARBOLD 12 $5.50 $1.85 $6.40
11. IT'S A KNOCKOUT 5 $7.50 $2.30 $7.98
1. SOUL OF SPAIN (IRE) 4 $6.50 $2.10 $8.28
4. NELLIE LEYLAX (IRE) 6 $9.00 $2.50 $9.53
5. JUJA KIBO (IRE) 11 $10.00 $2.75 $9.94
6. MR MONACO (GB) 7 $34.00 $5.75 $21.85
7. DEMOCRACY MANIFEST 2 $31.00 $5.50 $24.91
9. STAR VEGA (IRE) 8 $41.00 $6.50 $25.69
8. BOLD MAC (NZ) 10 $34.00 $5.75 $27.00
3. VALIANT KING (GB) 1 $51.00 $7.00 $39.92
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 83% 23*
2.00–2.49 36% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 this race 18% 64% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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