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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:50 PM R6 4:25 PM R7 5:00 PM

Race 1

1:20 PM
1250m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MONTRESOR (NZ)
2nd LATEST FLAME (NZ)
3rd IN CIRCLES 💡 Saver
4th CREDIBILITY
❌ Unplaced — PRIVATE LIAISON didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — IN CIRCLES ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
12
PRIVATE LIAISON P $1.20
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
IN CIRCLES W $4.20
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. PRIVATE LIAISON TOP RATED 1 $2.80 $1.20 $2.44
3. IN CIRCLES 7 $4.20 $1.30 $4.73
4. ODIN'S EYE 6 $23.00 $3.80 $8.14
7. MONTRESOR (NZ) FAV 3 $2.65 $1.14 $8.60
2. NORTHY LAD 10 $34.00 $4.50 $14.80
5. CREDIBILITY 2 $101.00 $7.25 $26.79
11. LATEST FLAME (NZ) 4 $8.00 $1.90 $29.48
9. FLY THE WIND 9 $51.00 $5.50 $1,218.55
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 42*
2.00–2.49 40% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 69% 72
3.50–4.99 29% 51% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.