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Race 8

4:35 PM
1547m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st OCEAN BAY (NZ)
2nd STAY HUMBLE 📍 Place Pick
3rd TRANGOOJAHRAY
4th ALIEN ANGEL (FR)
✅ Place bet landed — STAY HUMBLE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
STAY HUMBLE W $2.30·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. STAY HUMBLE FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.30 $1.20 $3.85
5. OCEAN BAY (NZ) 8 $5.00 $1.60 $6.00
7. ALIEN ANGEL (FR) 2 $5.50 $1.70 $6.55
3. TRANGOOJAHRAY 7 $5.50 $1.70 $7.13
10. MISLIGHT 11 $15.00 $3.40 $13.51
4. HOODYS HORSE 13 $16.00 $3.50 $13.72
6. SAKAKIBARA 6 $15.00 $3.40 $13.96
9. TRINITY'S D'ORO 5 $34.00 $5.25 $22.32
11. TREMAMORE 10 $101.00 $9.50 $59.26
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 64% 28*
2.50–3.49 34% 75% 59*
3.50–4.99 22% 63% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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