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MORUYA

R1 12:29 PM R2 1:04 PM R3 1:39 PM R4 2:14 PM R5 2:49 PM R6 3:24 PM R7 3:59 PM R8 4:39 PM

Race 4

2:14 PM
1310m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st PERCHANCE 📍 Place Pick
2nd COLD MIST
3rd REVEILLON
4th ZIPPY LION 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — PERCHANCE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
11
PERCHANCE P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
9
ZIPPY LION W $11.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. PERCHANCE FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.90 $1.32 $3.82
1. COLD MIST 18 $4.00 $1.40 $5.95
5. MR REIBY 1 $5.00 $1.70 $6.37
2. COLORADO SUN 15 $5.00 $1.70 $7.11
9. ZIPPY LION 2 $11.00 $2.90 $12.41
12. REVEILLON 12 $18.00 $3.90 $14.03
10. I'M IRELAND 8 $23.00 $4.60 $21.74
16. FIELDS UNITE 3 $71.00 $8.00 $39.09
18. THEGIRLFROMPRAGUE 10 $81.00 $9.00 $40.69
17. MENACING KAISER 6 $151.00 $15.00 $69.84
6. PONY EXPRESS 14 $201.00 $16.00 $97.02
Favourite record at MORUYA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 75% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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