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DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:17 PM R3 3:53 PM R4 4:32 PM R5 5:12 PM

Race 1

2:41 PM
1300m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SASS
2nd TEE GALLERIA
3rd FUNNYIFITWON
4th LAVENDER GLORY 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — FLASH KERMY didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
FLASH KERMY P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
LAVENDER GLORY W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. FLASH KERMY FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.50 $1.36 $4.52
3. TEE GALLERIA 6 $4.40 $1.55 $5.52
1. MERIMBULA 9 $4.20 $1.45 $6.09
8. SASS 1 $5.00 $1.70 $6.76
6. LAVENDER GLORY 5 $7.00 $2.15 $8.52
4. HELL AND BACK 8 $16.00 $3.75 $14.55
2. FUNNYIFITWON 7 $17.00 $3.90 $15.46
7. BIT TIRED ACTUALLY 2 $41.00 $6.25 $28.97
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 64% 86% 28*
2.00–2.49 43% 81% 47*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 53*
3.50–4.99 this race 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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