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DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:17 PM R3 3:53 PM R4 4:32 PM R5 5:12 PM

Race 4

4:32 PM
1000m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st TEARS ARE FLOWING ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ORDER ONLINE 💡 Saver
3rd SASSY ABBEY
4th CHARLIE MAGIC
✅ Best Bet won — TEARS ARE FLOWING finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ORDER ONLINE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
TEARS ARE FLOWING W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
ORDER ONLINE P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. TEARS ARE FLOWING FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.95 $1.18 $2.83
1. ORDER ONLINE 3 $3.00 $1.32 $3.91
3. PAFITIS 5 $5.00 $1.95 $5.22
4. SASSY ABBEY 4 $12.00 $3.80 $9.08
5. CHARLIE MAGIC 2 $16.00 $4.50 $11.22
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 64% 86% 28*
2.00–2.49 43% 81% 47*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 53*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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