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ROSEHILL

R1 11:45 AM R2 12:20 PM R3 12:55 PM R4 1:30 PM R5 2:05 PM R6 2:40 PM R7 3:15 PM R8 3:50 PM R9 4:30 PM R10 5:05 PM

Race 3

12:55 PM
2000m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st AETHELWULF ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ANTHRACITE (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd KENMARE BAY
4th TAKA SPEED (NZ)
✅ Best Bet won — AETHELWULF finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ANTHRACITE (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
AETHELWULF W $1.36
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
ANTHRACITE (NZ) P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. AETHELWULF FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.36 $1.02 $2.11
6. ANTHRACITE (NZ) 6 $8.00 $1.55 $7.69
5. KENMARE BAY 8 $16.00 $2.50 $12.69
2. TAKA SPEED (NZ) 11 $19.00 $2.80 $13.72
4. SHINY NEW DEEL (NZ) 9 $21.00 $3.10 $14.83
8. BELLE DETELLE 2 $20.00 $3.00 $16.58
1. UNBELIEVABLE (USA) 1 $20.00 $3.00 $17.73
9. SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) 7 $51.00 $5.50 $24.99
11. MARSABIT (IRE) 5 $101.00 $8.00 $50.16
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 76% 21*
2.00–2.49 46% 88% 26*
2.50–3.49 36% 67% 58*
3.50–4.99 11% 54% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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