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ROSEHILL

R1 11:45 AM R2 12:20 PM R3 12:55 PM R4 1:30 PM R5 2:05 PM R6 2:40 PM R7 3:15 PM R8 3:50 PM R9 4:30 PM R10 5:05 PM

Race 5

2:05 PM
1500m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st MR MILLER (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd INVADER ZIM
3rd SILVANITO
4th PUNTIN (NZ)
✅ Best Bet won — MR MILLER (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MR MILLER (NZ) W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
BOTANICAL BOY (NZ) P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MR MILLER (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.90 $1.10 $3.40
8. BOTANICAL BOY (NZ) 7 $5.00 $1.65 $5.94
3. PUNTIN (NZ) 6 $7.50 $2.10 $8.49
11. STAGNUM 2 $9.00 $2.40 $9.91
5. STEEL STRIKE 15 $12.00 $3.00 $11.35
6. CUBAN CIGAR 9 $26.00 $4.75 $19.13
4. SILVANITO 13 $34.00 $6.00 $22.82
10. TOO MANY THOUGHTS 8 $41.00 $6.50 $23.63
12. ENGINE ROOM (NZ) 1 $31.00 $5.50 $24.02
9. INVADER ZIM 3 $51.00 $7.25 $30.31
7. WRATHFUL (GB) 10 $101.00 $12.00 $54.13
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 76% 21*
2.00–2.49 46% 88% 26*
2.50–3.49 36% 67% 58*
3.50–4.99 11% 54% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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