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MACKAY

R1 1:45 PM R2 2:20 PM R3 2:55 PM R4 3:35 PM R5 4:10 PM R6 4:45 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 5

4:10 PM
1560m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st RED HOT LIZZIE 📍 Place Pick
2nd ACROPHOBIC
3rd UPSTART LEGEND
4th SETTAT (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — RED HOT LIZZIE finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
RED HOT LIZZIE W $2.35·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. RED HOT LIZZIE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.35 $1.14 $3.63
4. UPSTART LEGEND 4 $3.90 $1.34 $4.83
9. SETTAT (NZ) 5 $6.00 $1.60 $6.36
6. THE DRILLER 2 $7.50 $2.05 $7.85
2. ACROPHOBIC 10 $9.00 $2.25 $10.39
5. THE PENSKE FILE 6 $13.00 $2.80 $12.30
10. RAJNISH 8 $61.00 $6.75 $35.12
8. MR SHORTY 1 $51.00 $6.25 $36.74
Favourite record at MACKAY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 88% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 46% 75% 24*
2.50–3.49 29% 76% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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