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WARRNAMBOOL

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Race 4

3:00 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st CAPTAIN REDBEARD (NZ)
2nd PAPPA RITCH
3rd JUST MY LOT 📍 Place Pick
4th COMPASSION
✅ Place bet landed — JUST MY LOT ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
JUST MY LOT W $2.30·P $1.02
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. JUST MY LOT FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.30 $1.02 $2.85
11. COMPASSION 11 $3.30 $1.09 $3.93
1. CAPTAIN REDBEARD (NZ) 2 $2.60 $1.04 $4.03
4. PAPPA RITCH 1 $31.00 $3.75 $18.06
10. SPOTLIGHT ON CURLY 7 $101.00 $6.50 $41.57
7. GREYSTONE (NZ) 9 $126.00 $6.75 $48.31
3. JAX GOLD 5 $151.00 $7.25 $56.52
2. CONJURER 10 $151.00 $7.25 $58.15
9. MONSOON INDI 6 $201.00 $9.50 $89.03
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.50–3.49 25% 71% 24*
3.50–4.99 26% 57% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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