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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:02 PM R4 2:37 PM R5 3:12 PM R6 3:47 PM R7 4:27 PM R8 5:04 PM R9 5:40 PM

Race 1

12:52 PM
1250m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st OLIVIA MARIE 📍 Place Pick
2nd LUNAR VISTA
3rd BILK
4th POLAR EYES
✅ Place bet — won outright — OLIVIA MARIE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
OLIVIA MARIE P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
12
FARTOO FRISKY W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. OLIVIA MARIE FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.65 $1.28 $3.95
6. COSMIC SHOWER 8 $3.60 $1.36 $5.29
12. FARTOO FRISKY 7 $7.50 $2.25 $8.48
13. MAKE ME A MATCH 4 $9.00 $2.45 $8.80
9. POLAR EYES 3 $8.00 $2.35 $8.83
5. BILK 12 $17.00 $3.80 $15.07
4. WILLEBOB 6 $23.00 $5.00 $17.84
3. LUNAR VISTA 13 $41.00 $6.50 $28.13
1. DESERT CHARM 11 $71.00 $8.00 $38.56
11. EAST INDIES 1 $151.00 $18.00 $63.87
2. FRAM STRAIT 5 $201.00 $18.00 $76.36
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 79% 42*
2.50–3.49 this race 24% 58% 97
3.50–4.99 24% 44% 93

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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